Plabennec vs AF Virois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
66.1%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
5º
14º
13º
48
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 52 |
1º
|
70.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
38.5% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 43 |
4º
|
89% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 41 |
5º
|
89% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
61.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
56% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 34 |
8º
|
64% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 23.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 76.5% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Plabennec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PON
3 - 0
PLA
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 1
VAN
38%
22%
39%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
USF
3 - 2
PLA
42%
23%
35%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 0
PLA
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
PLA
0 - 2
ERG
77%
13%
9%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AF Virois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
AFV
1 - 0
ERG
77%
14%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 3
AFV
52%
23%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AFV
3 - 1
SAI
76%
15%
9%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FLE
1 - 1
AFV
18%
18%
65%
|
45 | 30 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LAN
1 - 4
AFV
20%
23%
57%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | +1 |