Coppa Lega Pro Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Pisa SC vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
16.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 0
FOL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
2 - 1
REG
55%
25%
19%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
PIS
31%
26%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 0
PIS
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
PIS
1 - 1
TER
41%
29%
30%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
TRI
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 1
COM
39%
28%
33%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 2
PIS
31%
26%
43%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LEO
2 - 0
TRI
47%
28%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
ACL
32%
28%
40%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |