Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
14%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
SPA
1 - 2
PIS
43%
28%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 2
SIE
24%
27%
49%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
3 - 0
LAQ
57%
25%
19%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 1
PIS
23%
25%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 0
PIS
21%
26%
53%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
2 - 0
SAV
43%
26%
32%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
ARZ
1 - 2
ASL
50%
26%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
PON
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2015 |
TUT
2 - 1
ASL
42%
27%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
RIM
2 - 0
ASL
35%
27%
38%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |