Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.6%
12.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 0
SAN
71%
20%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 4
PIS
25%
29%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 2
GRO
55%
25%
20%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ASC
1 - 1
PIS
36%
27%
37%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
PIS
1 - 1
PON
60%
24%
17%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2014 |
ASL
2 - 1
GRO
31%
27%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
22%
25%
53%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 2
ASC
36%
28%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -2 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
LAQ
1 - 0
ASL
45%
28%
27%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ASL
0 - 1
CAR
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |