Pisa SC vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.4%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
23.4%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pisa SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
LEC
0 - 0
PIS
27%
29%
44%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
PIS
0 - 0
BRE
58%
25%
18%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACL
63%
23%
14%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2000 |
SPE
3 - 0
PIS
40%
28%
32%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
PIS
1 - 1
CES
42%
30%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
0 - 1
MOD
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2000 |
ALV
0 - 0
ASL
32%
27%
41%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2000 |
ASL
1 - 3
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2000 |
COM
1 - 0
ASL
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
ASL
3 - 1
REG
46%
27%
27%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |