Pirin Razlog vs Marek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
53.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pirin Razlog
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SVO
1 - 3
PIR
23%
22%
55%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
PIR
1 - 2
STR
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
CHE
0 - 0
PIR
10%
19%
72%
|
44 | 14 | 30 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
PIR
2 - 0
VEL
78%
14%
9%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 1
PIR
38%
25%
36%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Marek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
BOT
81%
14%
6%
|
53 | 25 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
BEL
77%
16%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
GER
1 - 2
MAR
7%
17%
76%
|
55 | 22 | 33 | -4 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
MAR
0 - 0
PIR
81%
14%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | -1 |