Piqueñas vs Union Carrascal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piqueñas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PIQ
3 - 3
MAA
29%
23%
48%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CEP
2 - 2
PIQ
32%
21%
47%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
PIQ
0 - 1
LMJ
52%
22%
26%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
NUE
0 - 3
PIQ
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
PIQ
1 - 0
TDC
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Union Carrascal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
AAO
3 - 1
UCA
46%
22%
32%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
UCA
1 - 4
MUN
32%
22%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
SPB
3 - 2
UCA
40%
22%
39%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
UCA
7 - 1
ATL
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
FOB
1 - 2
UCA
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |