Premier de Ascenso - Apertura Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Pioneros de Cancún vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
60.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pioneros de Cancún
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
2 - 0
CDC
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
ZAC
1 - 1
PDC
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
3 - 3
CAN
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 38 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
CDC
0 - 1
PDC
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PDC
5 - 0
CAS
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 26 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MFC
0 - 1
CIM
19%
25%
57%
|
71 | 38 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
CIM
0 - 1
ADP
63%
22%
15%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 1
CIM
30%
24%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MIN
0 - 3
CIM
10%
19%
71%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
CIM
2 - 0
MFC
69%
20%
11%
|
71 | 35 | 36 | 0 |