Pineto vs Recanatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
19.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
PIN
32%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
1 - 2
FOR
58%
22%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
PIN
0 - 0
FRA
56%
22%
22%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PIN
3 - 3
AVE
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAM
0 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Recanatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
REC
2 - 2
SAV
61%
19%
19%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ISE
0 - 0
REC
29%
26%
45%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
REC
0 - 2
SAN
57%
21%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
JES
0 - 0
REC
28%
26%
46%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
REC
4 - 1
FOR
47%
24%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +2 |