Pineto vs Alfonsine FC 1921 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
10.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pineto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
PIN
32%
24%
44%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
PIN
2 - 4
SAM
48%
22%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
JES
2 - 0
PIN
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 0
PIN
28%
23%
50%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PIN
1 - 2
OLY
66%
18%
16%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Alfonsine FC 1921
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
SAM
20%
21%
60%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 0
ALF
75%
16%
10%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ALF
3 - 0
ROM
19%
20%
61%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +3 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
REC
1 - 1
ALF
73%
17%
11%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ALF
2 - 2
VIS
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | +1 |