Pinatar vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.6%
66.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pinatar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
BUL
2 - 1
PIN
63%
21%
16%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
FOR
33%
26%
41%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
BAL
2 - 0
PIN
46%
25%
29%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
JUM
4 - 2
PIN
72%
18%
10%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
PIN
0 - 1
IMP
27%
27%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
LOR
0 - 1
IMP
75%
16%
10%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PLU
3 - 1
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
3 - 0
PUL
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CDB
0 - 4
LOR
11%
19%
70%
|
45 | 12 | 33 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
LOR
2 - 0
MSM
79%
13%
7%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |