Piloñesa vs Narcea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piloñesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MOS
3 - 3
DPT
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TAP
1 - 1
DPT
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DPT
1 - 0
TIN
40%
25%
36%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SMA
0 - 2
DPT
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DPT
3 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Narcea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 0
TAP
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
TIN
0 - 1
NAR
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 2
SMA
53%
23%
25%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
ATL
0 - 0
NAR
50%
23%
27%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 0
VAL
42%
25%
33%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |