Pigotts Bullets vs Willikies analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-79%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 3
HOP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 3
PBU
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
PBU
0 - 1
SEA
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
2 - 2
PBU
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PBU
2 - 1
EGF
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Willikies
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
WIL
1 - 0
EGF
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 2
PAR
43%
24%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SEA
4 - 1
WIL
48%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BAS
1 - 0
WIL
51%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
WIL
0 - 1
ORO
44%
24%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |