Pigotts Bullets vs Liberta SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
15.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
15º
9º
3
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
PBU
1 - 1
EGF
31%
25%
44%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 1
VLI
34%
23%
43%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PBU
1 - 1
OTT
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
PBU
0 - 6
GRE
36%
23%
41%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLU
1 - 2
PBU
10%
16%
74%
|
30 | 13 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Liberta SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 2
TRY
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
LIB
4 - 8
SAP
24%
20%
56%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 4
ORO
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
0 - 3
HOP
26%
20%
54%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
LIB
1 - 5
SWE
37%
21%
42%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |