Pigotts Bullets vs Liberta SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
29.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
9º
15º
9º
3
9º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 49 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
34 | 34 |
3º
|
32% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
4º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 31 |
5º
|
91% | |
|
5º
|
26 | 29 |
6º
|
44% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 28 |
7º
|
35% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 27 |
8º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
42.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
61% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
93% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
3 | 6 |
15º
|
90% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
90% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pigotts Bullets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2022 |
PBU
2 - 1
ALL
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
PBU
2 - 0
FIV
40%
23%
37%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2022 |
TRY
2 - 1
PBU
50%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PBU
58%
20%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -4 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PBU
0 - 0
OTT
43%
23%
34%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Liberta SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
OTT
3 - 0
LIB
49%
21%
30%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ALL
3 - 0
LIB
49%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
1 - 1
PBU
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -6 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LIB
4 - 4
PAR
54%
20%
26%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
ORO
3 - 1
LIB
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |