Pievese vs Melegnano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
36%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pievese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
PIE
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PIE
4 - 1
ROZ
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
EXC
0 - 0
PIE
11%
18%
72%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
PIE
3 - 1
USO
85%
11%
5%
|
28 | 9 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 0
PIE
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Melegnano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 0
PAN
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
2 - 1
NUO
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ROZ
1 - 0
MEL
40%
23%
36%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MEL
1 - 0
EXC
85%
11%
5%
|
30 | 11 | 19 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
USO
2 - 3
MEL
9%
16%
75%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | 0 |