Pievese vs ASD Excelsior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+141%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pievese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
USO
2 - 1
PIE
10%
17%
73%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
0 - 1
MON
29%
24%
47%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MED
0 - 0
PIE
23%
22%
55%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PIE
3 - 2
CAS
45%
23%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
LOC
2 - 3
PIE
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Excelsior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
1 - 2
MEL
16%
20%
64%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
NUO
0 - 0
EXC
64%
20%
17%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 0
ROZ
22%
22%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
EXC
0 - 1
PAN
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
USO
0 - 1
EXC
17%
21%
62%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |