Pieta Hotspurs vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
62.1%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
16.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.2%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
11º
14º
14º
50
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pieta Hotspurs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
PIE
78%
15%
6%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 1
MAR
33%
26%
41%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GUD
1 - 0
PIE
62%
22%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
PIE
1 - 2
SLU
34%
24%
43%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
ZEB
0 - 1
PIE
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 1
GZI
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 1
BIR
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
1 - 2
MOS
48%
25%
27%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BIR
24%
26%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BIR
0 - 0
HAM
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |