Piauiense Final Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Picos SE vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
PIA
0 - 1
PIC
38%
25%
37%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
BAR
40%
26%
35%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 0
4DE
40%
24%
35%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
RIV
1 - 2
PIC
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
PIC
1 - 3
CAC
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 54 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2010 |
COR
1 - 3
FLA
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2010 |
FLA
0 - 0
PIA
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
FLA
2 - 2
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
RIV
0 - 4
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
CAC
2 - 1
FLA
56%
24%
20%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |