Piauiense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Picos SE vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIC
43%
25%
32%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
PIC
3 - 0
OEI
66%
20%
14%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2009 |
OEI
1 - 1
PIC
28%
25%
47%
|
47 | 31 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PDS
0 - 4
PIC
22%
24%
54%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
PIC
2 - 1
OEI
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 0
PIC
43%
25%
32%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
FLA
4 - 1
PAR
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
PAR
1 - 0
FLA
56%
24%
21%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
PIA
0 - 2
FLA
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 1
FLA
63%
22%
16%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |