Picerno vs Sporting Fulgor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.1%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.8%
3-0
13%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
4.4%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TAR
1 - 0
PIC
44%
24%
33%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 1
FBC
43%
26%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 1
NAR
43%
25%
32%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 1
PIC
42%
27%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FCF
2 - 3
PIC
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Fulgor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
1 - 2
FBC
10%
17%
73%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SSE
1 - 2
SFM
82%
12%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 3
FCF
14%
17%
69%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
SAR
5 - 0
SFM
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SFM
2 - 2
POM
12%
18%
70%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | +1 |