Picerno vs Paganese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
FIA
2 - 3
PIC
33%
29%
38%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2021 |
PIC
1 - 0
PAL
15%
24%
61%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 1
PIC
61%
23%
16%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
FRA
40%
28%
32%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
RPO
2 - 0
PIC
37%
27%
36%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Paganese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PAG
3 - 1
JUS
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MON
1 - 0
PAG
63%
23%
15%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
PAL
3 - 0
PAG
81%
15%
5%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
PAG
0 - 1
FIA
46%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
USF
3 - 0
PAG
68%
20%
12%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |