Picerno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
TUR
0 - 1
PIC
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 1
BAR
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
PIC
0 - 0
FCC
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
USV
0 - 0
PIC
41%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
PAL
4 - 1
PIC
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
LUC
58%
21%
20%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 0
FRA
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
MES
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
MES
1 - 1
PAL
13%
24%
63%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |