Picerno vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
FCS
0 - 0
PIC
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
USB
1 - 2
PIC
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
PIC
4 - 1
AUD
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
TAR
0 - 0
PIC
49%
26%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
PIC
5 - 0
SOR
74%
16%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
MES
41%
24%
35%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROC
68%
18%
14%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | -1 |