Picerno vs Gelbison analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 1
RPO
43%
22%
35%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
PIC
2 - 2
TUR
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
SSE
4 - 3
PIC
51%
22%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
PIC
1 - 1
TOR
44%
22%
34%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ACI
1 - 0
PIC
28%
24%
49%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Gelbison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2016 |
GEL
2 - 0
CSV
50%
23%
28%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 1
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
GEL
0 - 0
NOT
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
REG
2 - 1
GEL
68%
21%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
GEL
5 - 0
AGR
38%
26%
36%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |