Picerno vs Aprilia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.2%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picerno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
PIC
66%
19%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
TUR
1 - 0
PIC
72%
16%
12%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
PIC
3 - 2
SSE
22%
21%
56%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | +3 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
TOR
3 - 1
PIC
74%
15%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PIC
3 - 4
ACI
46%
23%
31%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aprilia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
APR
1 - 2
FRA
27%
23%
50%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
APR
1 - 2
SSM
36%
27%
37%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
BIS
0 - 0
APR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
APR
0 - 2
POM
33%
26%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
FON
4 - 2
APR
74%
15%
10%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | -1 |