Picassent vs Balompié Alfafar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+77%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Picassent
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
AYO
2 - 3
PIC
63%
20%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PIC
2 - 2
ALM
58%
21%
21%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UDC
1 - 1
PIC
27%
24%
49%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
ENG
0 - 1
PIC
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
PIC
4 - 1
XAT
88%
9%
3%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Balompié Alfafar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BAL
2 - 2
MOI
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
RAF
4 - 0
BAL
65%
18%
17%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
0 - 1
CDL
69%
17%
15%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
BAL
3 - 2
BEN
47%
21%
32%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ALC
2 - 0
BAL
64%
19%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |