Pica vs Geres GD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.9%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PEV
1 - 1
PIC
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
PIC
1 - 0
PON
83%
11%
5%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
EMI
2 - 2
PIC
19%
21%
60%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PIC
3 - 1
RUI
74%
16%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
ABA
0 - 3
PIC
24%
22%
54%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Geres GD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GER
0 - 1
LOU
20%
22%
59%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
GER
1 - 0
DSC
27%
23%
51%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
PEV
3 - 1
GER
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
GER
2 - 0
PON
38%
23%
39%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
EMI
3 - 2
GER
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |