Piauí vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
52.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+132%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOT
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
PIA
2 - 2
RIV
41%
25%
35%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 1
NAU
24%
26%
51%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
4 - 0
SER
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
0 - 0
SAL
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |