Phuentsholing vs Thimphu City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.2%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.5%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.1%
83.3%
Win probability
3.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
6.9%
2-5
2.3%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
18%
0-4
7.2%
1-5
4.7%
2-6
1.3%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
13.5%
0-5
5%
1-6
2.7%
2-7
0.6%
3-8
0.1%
-5
8.4%
0-6
2.8%
1-7
1.3%
2-8
0.3%
3-9
0%
-6
4.5%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.6%
2-9
0.1%
3-10
0%
-7
2.1%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.9%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phuentsholing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
5 - 1
PFC
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2018 |
PFC
2 - 1
THI
37%
21%
42%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
PFC
0 - 0
TRU
8%
13%
79%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 2
PFC
75%
14%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
THC
2 - 0
PFC
91%
6%
3%
|
19 | 44 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Thimphu City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2018 |
THC
0 - 1
THI
88%
8%
4%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
PAR
1 - 0
THC
8%
11%
81%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
UGY
1 - 1
THC
69%
17%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
THC
1 - 2
TRU
60%
20%
20%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2018 |
THC
2 - 0
PFC
91%
6%
3%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | +1 |