DFB Pokal 1/16
Global 0-4
SV Phönix 03 vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Phönix 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1954 |
KAI
0 - 3
PHO
48%
22%
30%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
PHO
4 - 2
SAA
61%
19%
20%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +3 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
PHO
3 - 2
ASL
82%
11%
7%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1954 |
PHO
3 - 2
M05
57%
20%
24%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +2 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
KAI
1 - 3
PHO
61%
19%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1954 |
AAA
0 - 1
LEV
77%
13%
11%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1954 |
SWE
7 - 1
AAA
74%
15%
12%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
AAA
3 - 1
SHE
84%
10%
6%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1954 |
AAA
4 - 5
BOC
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1954 |
MON
2 - 1
AAA
68%
17%
15%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |