Phitsanulok vs Mae Chai Thanachotiwat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
11.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
1º
2º
1º
38
3º
11º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
56 | 56 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 33 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phitsanulok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
NMS
1 - 3
PHI
9%
17%
74%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
MAE
1 - 1
PHI
23%
23%
55%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PHI
1 - 1
SKW
84%
11%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
UTT
1 - 1
PHI
26%
24%
50%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PHI
2 - 1
CHI
82%
12%
6%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Mae Chai Thanachotiwat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
MCT
4 - 1
CHI
66%
18%
16%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KKU
0 - 2
MCT
15%
18%
67%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
MCT
1 - 0
MAE
50%
22%
28%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 2
MCT
29%
22%
49%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
MCT
3 - 2
UTT
42%
23%
35%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |