Philadelphia Union vs Houston Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.2%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
35.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Philadelphia Union
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 1
DCU
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
1 - 1
PHU
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
NER
0 - 0
PHU
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
1 - 2
COC
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
PHU
0 - 0
RSL
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
HOD
4 - 0
FAS
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KCW
1 - 1
HOD
51%
26%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 0
RSL
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2012 |
CFS
3 - 1
HOD
43%
28%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 1
HOD
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |