PHC Zebras vs X-Roads Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.7%
Win probability
3.41
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
11.4%
8.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
6º
1º
20
7º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
20 | 20 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 17 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
12 | 12 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
2 - 5
PHC
39%
21%
40%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
3 - 1
SOM
69%
16%
15%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
4 - 0
ROB
57%
19%
24%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PHC
0 - 1
NOR
55%
20%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HOR
5 - 2
PHC
52%
21%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
X-Roads Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
BOU
4 - 3
XRW
47%
20%
33%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
XRW
1 - 2
HOR
24%
18%
58%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
DEV
5 - 1
XRW
60%
20%
21%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HAM
4 - 1
XRW
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
XRW
3 - 1
SOM
31%
21%
48%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |