PHC Zebras vs St. David's Warriors analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.2%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
25.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
1 - 2
PHC
44%
22%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
PHC
2 - 2
FLA
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
HOR
2 - 2
PHC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
PHC
3 - 0
WOL
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
PHC
3 - 1
HAM
45%
23%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
St. David's Warriors
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
STD
59%
20%
21%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
STD
0 - 2
DEV
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
SOM
1 - 1
STD
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
STD
1 - 0
SOU
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FLA
5 - 0
STD
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |