PHC Zebras vs Somerset Trojans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.5%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
PHC
1 - 0
NOR
57%
19%
24%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
PHC
2 - 0
PAG
70%
15%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
XRW
1 - 2
PHC
19%
19%
63%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HOR
1 - 2
PHC
36%
22%
43%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
PHC
6 - 1
HAM
66%
16%
17%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Somerset Trojans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
SOM
0 - 2
HAM
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 2
NOR
23%
21%
56%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
DEV
6 - 2
SOM
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
1 - 2
PAG
36%
22%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
SOM
3 - 1
HOR
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | +1 |