PHC Zebras vs Paget CC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
18.5%
23.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+55%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
1º
4º
2º
25
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
33 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 32 |
3º
|
57% | |
|
|
7º
|
25 | 31 |
4º
|
41.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
38.5% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
52.5% | |
|
6º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
52.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 17 |
8º
|
97% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 10 |
10º
|
77.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Caribbean Club Championship
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PHC Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
PHC
1 - 1
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HOR
3 - 0
PHC
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
YMS
0 - 2
PHC
35%
21%
45%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
PHC
0 - 2
STG
64%
17%
19%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
DEV
1 - 0
PHC
28%
21%
51%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Paget CC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
DEV
2 - 2
PAG
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
PAG
1 - 2
WOL
55%
20%
25%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
PAG
2 - 1
NOR
41%
21%
38%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HOR
4 - 1
PAG
47%
21%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
PAG
4 - 1
YMS
54%
20%
26%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +1 |