Phayao vs Phetchabun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.3%
Win probability
2.82
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
5.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phayao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
LWA
1 - 0
PHA
45%
25%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PHA
0 - 1
KAP
58%
21%
21%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
CHI
0 - 1
PHA
16%
20%
64%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
PHA
1 - 1
NBP
56%
21%
23%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
PHA
2 - 0
PHU
41%
23%
36%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Phetchabun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
PHE
0 - 1
PHU
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 38 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
UTT
3 - 0
PHE
56%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
LOE
2 - 0
PHE
84%
11%
6%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
PHE
0 - 2
NAN
43%
23%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
TAK
4 - 0
PHE
75%
16%
10%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |