Phayao vs Nongbua Pitchaya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phayao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
PHA
1 - 0
LOE
39%
24%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
PHU
1 - 2
PHA
63%
22%
16%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PHA
2 - 0
TAK
51%
23%
27%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PHE
1 - 0
PHA
25%
23%
53%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
PHA
1 - 3
SIN
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Nongbua Pitchaya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
NBP
5 - 0
PHE
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
NBP
1 - 0
NOK
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
NBP
3 - 0
SAN
84%
12%
5%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NBP
2 - 0
ROI
55%
22%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
NBP
0 - 2
KHU
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -1 |