Phare du Canal vs Dynamo Le Moule analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
17.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
4º
10º
8º
17
10º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 33 |
3º
|
81.5% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 31 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
66% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
76.5% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
76.5% | |
|
|
8º
|
24 | 24 |
8º
|
76.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 16 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
11 | 11 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 9 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phare du Canal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
PDC
1 - 2
SIR
56%
22%
22%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
JUV
1 - 1
PDC
39%
26%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STL
1 - 2
PDC
42%
23%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
PDC
3 - 1
GOU
55%
22%
23%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
PDC
0 - 0
USB
41%
24%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Le Moule
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2023 |
ASD
2 - 5
SSC
31%
22%
48%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
ETO
3 - 1
ASD
60%
20%
20%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
SSC
3 - 1
ASD
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
ASD
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
SIR
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | +1 |