PFK Dimitrov vs Nara-ShBFR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
23.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFK Dimitrov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
PFK
1 - 2
IST
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
SEV
0 - 0
PFK
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
DIN
4 - 0
PFK
64%
20%
16%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TOR
0 - 1
PFK
51%
25%
24%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2008 |
PFK
2 - 1
DIN
33%
25%
41%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2009 |
TOR
1 - 0
NAR
59%
23%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 0
PSK
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
NAR
1 - 3
SAC
16%
25%
59%
|
36 | 56 | 20 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
TKA
3 - 4
NAR
19%
25%
56%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 0
NAR
69%
20%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |