PFC vs Neptunus-Schiebroek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MAG
1 - 1
PFC
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 2
VEL
11%
18%
72%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
KOC
3 - 1
PFC
65%
19%
16%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PFC
1 - 1
EXC
10%
17%
73%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SJC
5 - 5
PFC
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 32 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Neptunus-Schiebroek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SCN
3 - 1
FCB
40%
23%
37%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
NIE
0 - 1
SCN
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +2 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
0 - 1
DEM
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ADO
2 - 2
SCN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SCN
3 - 0
RKD
88%
9%
3%
|
33 | 9 | 24 | 0 |