PFC vs Poortugaal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
47.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 0
PFC
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
PFC
2 - 5
ZWE
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
NIE
3 - 1
PFC
24%
22%
54%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PFC
2 - 2
TOG
28%
23%
50%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SJC
4 - 1
PFC
88%
8%
4%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Poortugaal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POO
1 - 3
KOC
21%
21%
58%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
HMS
2 - 0
POO
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
POO
0 - 4
MAG
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
NIE
4 - 0
POO
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
POO
0 - 1
VEL
38%
23%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |