PFC vs IFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.1%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
78%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.2%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
PFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SJC
4 - 0
PFC
92%
6%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 0
GDA
28%
21%
51%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PFC
0 - 0
OLY
23%
21%
57%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
DRL
3 - 1
PFC
78%
14%
8%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
FCB
3 - 0
PFC
90%
7%
3%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
IFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IFC
6 - 1
TAC
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
FCB
2 - 2
IFC
37%
23%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
IFC
2 - 0
VEL
77%
15%
9%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ZWE
0 - 2
IFC
21%
20%
59%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VOC
0 - 1
IFC
36%
22%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |