Sochi vs Akhmat Grozny analysis


76	ELO	77
10.8%	Tilt	3.5%
1937º	General ELO ranking	1499º
17º	Country ELO ranking	11º
ELO win probability

42.5%

Sochi

25.3%

Draw

32.2%

Akhmat Grozny

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

42.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%

25.3%

Draw

0-0

6.3%

1-1

12%

2-2

5.7%

3-3

1.2%

4-4

0.1%

5-5

<0%

0

25.3%

32.2%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

-6%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.

16º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

24

3º

16º

35

8º

14º

10º

PTS.

Best position

Worst

EXP.

CURR.POS.

10º

Expected position in the table

		Final expectations
RK	PTS.	PTS.	RK	PROB
1º	57	57	1º	100%
2º	56	56	2º	0%
3º	56	56	3º	0%
4º	53	53	4º	100%
5º	50	50	5º	100%
6º	48	48	6º	100%
7º	43	43	7º	100%
8º	42	42	8º	100%
9º	41	41	9º	100%
10º	35	35	10º	100%
11º	32	32	11º	100%
12º	31	31	12º	100%
13º	30	30	13º	100%
14º	30	30	14º	100%
15º	26	26	15º	100%
16º	24	24	16º	100%

See complete ranking Show less

Expected probabilities

Champion	0%	0%
Mid-table	0%	100%
Relegation play-offs	0%	0%
Relegation	100%	0%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sochi

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Jul. 2023	KRA 2 - 0 SOC 58% 23% 20%	77	82	5	0
26 Jul. 2023	FAK 1 - 3 SOC 27% 25% 48%	77	69	8	0
23 Jul. 2023	SOC 2 - 0 BAL 60% 23% 17%	76	71	5	+1
15 Jul. 2023	KRA 2 - 2 SOC 59% 22% 20%	76	82	6	0
10 Jul. 2023	SOC 2 - 1 FDC 87% 9% 4%	76	11	65	0

Matches

Akhmat Grozny

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
30 Jul. 2023	TER 2 - 3 CSK 29% 26% 45%	77	84	7	0
25 Jul. 2023	ZEN 2 - 0 TER 72% 16% 12%	78	86	8	-1
22 Jul. 2023	TER 1 - 2 KRS 45% 25% 29%	78	76	2	0
25 Jun. 2023	DMK 1 - 1 TER 12% 20% 69%	79	58	21	-1
03 Jun. 2023	TER 2 - 2 KRA 33% 25% 43%	79	82	3	0