Sochi vs Luch Vladivostok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.2%
+3
16.1%
2-0
18.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
24%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
16%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
16%
5.2%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 6
SOC
22%
26%
52%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 0
TAM
53%
26%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
TYU
2 - 1
SOC
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
SOC
0 - 2
MOR
73%
18%
8%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
SKA
2 - 2
SOC
30%
29%
41%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Luch Vladivostok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
VLA
2 - 2
TOM
25%
28%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
VLA
1 - 0
SIB
39%
30%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
CHE
1 - 1
VLA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
VLA
0 - 1
TAM
20%
27%
53%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
VLA
0 - 0
YAN
35%
26%
40%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |