Sochi vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
SOC
2 - 1
KAI
51%
23%
25%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2022 |
SOC
1 - 0
PKU
84%
12%
4%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
DIN
2 - 1
SOC
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 1
SOC
18%
24%
58%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2022 |
AUS
0 - 0
SOC
53%
22%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RES
2 - 0
ARS
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RAN
2 - 3
ARS
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ARS
0 - 0
BBL
39%
25%
36%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
ARS
1 - 2
ESB
66%
19%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
NPA
1 - 1
ARS
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |