Sochi vs Arsenal Tula analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
24.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sochi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
KRA
1 - 2
SOC
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
DIN
2 - 4
SOC
45%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
TER
1 - 2
SOC
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2021 |
KRS
4 - 1
SOC
39%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
SOC
0 - 1
ČUK
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 2
ARS
78%
14%
8%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 3
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 1
SIL
67%
20%
13%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |