Montana vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 1
MON
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
LOK
63%
22%
16%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2016 |
OFK
1 - 0
MON
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BGA
2 - 3
MON
19%
24%
57%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 0
NEF
67%
20%
13%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
CSK
1 - 1
LSO
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 0
CSK
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CSK
4 - 0
BER
39%
27%
33%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
CSK
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CSK
1 - 0
CVA
41%
25%
33%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |