Montana vs CSKA Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Montana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
SEP
1 - 4
MON
21%
26%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MON
3 - 0
SVA
70%
19%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BVR
1 - 4
MON
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
DOB
48%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
BAN
2 - 0
MON
56%
24%
21%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CSKA Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
CSK
3 - 0
LSO
58%
23%
18%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
CVA
1 - 1
CSK
32%
29%
38%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CSK
3 - 2
MED
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
LPL
0 - 3
CSK
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2014 |
CSK
5 - 0
MAR
71%
20%
10%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |